跳至主要内容

Statistical Analysis of Subsurface Diffusion of Solar Energy with Implications for Urban Heat Stress

Read full paper at:
http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=47101#.VGGJSmfHRK0

Author(s)
Analysis of hourly underground temperature measurements at a medium-size (by population) US city as a function of depth and extending over 5+ years revealed a positive trend exceeding the rate of regional and global warming by an order of magnitude. Measurements at depths greater than ~2 m are unaffected by daily fluctuations and sense only seasonal variability. A comparable trend also emerged from the surface temperature record of the largest US city (New York). Power spectral analysis of deep and shallow subsurface temperature records showed respectively two kinds of power-law behavior: 1) a quasi-continuum of power amplitudes indicative of Brownian noise, superposed (in the shallow record) by 2) a discrete spectrum of diurnal harmonics attributable to the unequal heat flux between daylight and darkness. Spectral amplitudes of the deepest temperature time series (2.4 m) conformed to a log-hyperbolic distribution. Upon removal of seasonal variability from the temperature record, the resulting spectral amplitudes followed a log-exponential distribution. Dynamical analysis showed that relative amplitudes and phases of temperature records at different depths were in excellent accord with a 1-dimensional heat diffusion model.
Cite this paper
Silverman, M. (2014) Statistical Analysis of Subsurface Diffusion of Solar Energy with Implications for Urban Heat Stress. Journal of Modern Physics, 5, 751-762. doi: 10.4236/jmp.2014.59085.

[1] Tollefson, J. (2011) Nature News.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/news.2011.607
[2] Cook, J., et al. (2013) Environmental Research Letters, 8, Article ID: 024024.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/8/2/024024
[3] Rohde, R., et al. (2013) Geoinformatics & Geostatics: An Overview, 1, 1.
http://dx.doi.org/10.4172/2327-4581.1000101
[4] IPCC (2013) Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis.
http://www.climatechange2013.org/
[5] McMichael, A.J., Woodruff, R.E. and Hales, S. (2006) The Lancet, 367, 859-869.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(06)68079-3
[6] Hajat, S., Vardoulakis, S., Heaviside, C. and Eggen, B. (2014) Journal of Epidemiology & Community Health, 68, 641-648.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1136/jech-2013-202449
[7] Centers for Disease Control and Prevention: Climate and Health Program.
http://www.cdc.gov/climateandhealth/effects/heat.htm
[8] Robine, J.-M., et al. (2008) Comptes Rendus Biologies, 331, 171-178.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crvi.2007.12.001
[9] Stone Jr., B. (2007) International Journal of Climatology, 27, 1801-1807.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/joc.1555
[10] Union of Concerned Scientists (2006) Climate Change in the US Northeast. UCS Publications, Cambridge, MA, 10.
[11] Committee on America’s Climate Choices (2011) America’s Climate Choices. National Academy Press, Washington DC, 15.
[12] Silverman, M.P. (2014) A Certain Uncertainty: Nature’s Random Ways. Cambridge University Press (to be published), Cambridge.
[13] NYC Temperature Data.
http://weather-warehouse.com/
[14] Shannon, C. (1949) Proceedings of the IRE, 37, 10-21.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1109/JRPROC.1949.232969
[15] Silverman, M.P., Strange, W., Bower, J. and Ikejimba, L. (2012) Physica Scripta, 85, Article ID: 065403.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1088/0031-8949/85/06/065403
[16] Fieller, N.R.J., Flenley, E.C. and Olbricht, W. (1992) Applied Statistics, 41, 127-146.
http://dx.doi.org/10.2307/2347623
[17] Bibby, B.M. and Sorensen, M. (1997) Finance and Stochastics, 1, 25-41.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s007800050015
[18] Barndorff-Nielsen, O. (1977) Proceedings of the Royal Society of London. Series A, 353, 401-419.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspa.1977.0041
[19] Evett, S.R., et al. (2012) Advances in Water Resources, 50, 41-54.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2012.04.012
[20] Wu, J., et al. (2014) Environmental Health Perspectives, 122, 10-16.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1306670
[21] Meehl, G. and Tebaldi, C. (2004) Science, 305, 994-997.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/science.1098704
[22] Turcotte, D.L. (1997) Fractals and Chaos in Geology and Geophysics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 148-149.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/CBO9781139174695
[23] Hergarten, S. (2002) Self-Organized Criticality in Earth Systems. Springer, Heidelberg, 48-66.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-662-04390-5
[24] Silverman, M.P. and Strange, W. (2009) Europhysics Letters, 87, Article ID: 32001.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/87/32001             eww141111lx
  

评论

此博客中的热门博文

Does Immigration Promote the Investment of the Monopolistic Firm?

In the present paper, we examine the effect of increasing uncertainty of immigrants’ growth on the optimal timing of investment of a firm that has a monopolistic power over the labor market. It is revealed that when the uncertainty of immigrants’ growth is more than a threshold level, increasing uncertainty of immigrants’ growth accelerates the optimal timing of firms’ investment and enhances the economic growth, even if the uncertainty of immigrants’ growth is formulated by the geometric Brownian motion, which is in sharp contrast to the standard result that an increase in the uncertainty postpones the optimal timing. With an increase in the immigrants over the past ten years, workforces in the host countries have been growing significantly to the extent that the immigrants represent 70% of the increase in the workforce in Europe, and 47% in the United States as OECD indicates. In the present paper, we attempted to investigate the effect of increased uncertainty caused by the growi...

Education Policy Implementation: A Mechanism for Enhancing Primary Education Development in Zanzibar

Education is one of the fundamental rights of individuals; therefore, the government of a country needs to develop and strengthen educational policy and quality as well as to ensure that everyone has equal access to basic education. The improvement of access and quality of education in the world is becoming as an essential factor in development, whereas the basic education (primary school), is acknowledged as a foundation of the higher educational development for every country. To fulfill this goal, governments introduce several policies and procedures; however, it requires some reforms and participation from the politician, policymakers, and other stakeholders to re-examine educational policy so that it can lead to multiplication and betterment of the reforms. Educational reforms actually focus on accountability. A positive educational development and reform is very challenging and needs more effort and strategy on how to use and utilize the resources effectively as such it can achie...