Integrated Scenario Planning and Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis Framework with Application to Forest Planning
Read full paper at: http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=53515#.VMcuhizQrzE Author(s) Livia Bizikova 1* , Emina Krcmar 2 Affiliation(s) 1 International Institute for Sustainable Development (IISD), Ottawa, Canada . 2 Faculty of Forestry, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada . ABSTRACT This paper explores approaches concerning complex forest planning challenges, such as restoration after large-scale disturbances and under climate change. It introduces a new framework that integrates qualitative scenario planning with quantitative multi-criteria decision analysis. This framework allows stakeholders without background in forestry to express their preferences as a set of scenarios that are further assessed for specific forest management goals and activities using multi-criteria models. The assessment of the modelled scenarios created a common understanding for the stakeholders and experts to co...