Read full paper at:
http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=51327#.VGRwp2fHRK0
http://www.scirp.org/journal/PaperInformation.aspx?PaperID=51327#.VGRwp2fHRK0
Author(s)
We propose and analyze an epidemiological model to
evaluate the effectiveness of bed nets as a prophylactic measure in
malaria-endemic areas. The main purpose in this work is the modeling of
the aggressiveness of anopheles mosquitoes relative to the way humans
use to protect themselves against bites of mosquitoes. This model is a
system of several differential equations: the number of equations
depends on the particular assumptions of the model. We compute the basic
reproduction number
, and show that if
, the disease free equilibrium (DFE) is globally asymptotically stable on the non-negative orthant. If
,
the system admits a unique endemic equilibrium (EE) that is globally
and asymptotically stable. Numerical simulations are presented
corresponding to scenarios typical of malaria-endemic areas, based on
data collected in the literature. Finally, we discuss the relative
effectiveness of different kinds of bed nets.
KEYWORDS
Cite this paper
Kamgang, J. , Kamla, V. and Tchoumi, S. (2014)
Modeling the Dynamics of Malaria Transmission with Bed Net Protection
Perspective. Applied Mathematics, 5, 3156-3205. doi: 10.4236/am.2014.519298.
| [1] | WHO (2013) World Malaria Report 2013. Technical Report, WHO. |
| [2] | Gollin, D. and Zimmermann, C. (2007) Malaria: Disease Impacts and Long-Run Income Differences. IZA Discussion Papers 2997, Institution for the Study of Labor (IZA). |
| [3] | Ross, R. (1911) The Prevention of Malaria. John Murray, London. |
| [4] |
Barbour, A.D. (1978) MacDonald’s
Model and the Transmission of Bilharzia. Transactions of the Royal
Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 72, 6-15. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0035-9203(78)90290-0 |
| [5] |
Ngwa, A.G. and Shu, W.S. (2000) A
Mathematical Model for Endemic Malaria with Variable Human and Mosqioto
Population. Mathematical and Computer Modelling, 32, 747-763. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0895-7177(00)00169-2 |
| [6] | Chitnis, N. (2005) Using Mathematical Models in Controlling the Spread of Malaria. Ph.D. Thesis, University of Arizona, Tucson. |
| [7] | Zongo, P. (2009) Modélisation mathématique de la dynamique de transmission du paludisme. Ph.D. Thesis, Universite de Ouagadougou, Ouagadougou. |
| [8] | Fontenille, D., Lochouarn, L., Diagne, N., Sokhna, C., Lemasson, J.J., Diatta, M., Konate, L., Faye, F., Rogier, C. and Trape, J.F. (1997) High Annual and Seasonal Variations in Malaria Transmission by Anophelines and Vector Species Composition in Dielmo, a Holoendemic Area in Senegal. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 56, 247-253. |
| [9] | Rogier, C., Tall, A., Diagne, N., Fontenille, D., Spiegel, A. and Trape, J.F. (2000) Plasmodium falciparum Clinical Malaria: Lessons from Longitudinal Studies in Senegal. Parassitologia, 41, 255-259. |
| [10] |
van den Driessche, P. and
Watmough, J. (2002) Reproduction Numbers and Sub-Threshold Endemic
Equilibria for Compartmental Models of Disease Transmission.
Mathematical Biosciences, 180, 29-48.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00108-6 |
| [11] | Carnevale, P. and Vincent, R. (2009) Les anophèles, Biologie, transmission du Paludisme et lutte antivectorielle. IRD. |
| [12] |
Kamgang, J.C. and Sallet, G.
(2008) Computation of Threshold Conditions for Epidemiological Models
and Global Stability of the Disease Free Equilibrium. Mathematical
Biosciences, 213, 1-12.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.mbs.2008.02.005 |
| [13] |
Bame, N., Bowong, S., Mbang, J.,
Sallet, G. and Tewa, J.J. (2008) Global Stability for SEIS Models with n
Latent Classes. Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 5, 20-33. http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2008.5.20 |
| [14] |
Bowong, S. and Tewa, J.J. (2009)
Mathematical Analysis of a Tuberculosis Model with Differential
Infectivity. Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical
Simulation, 14, 4010-4021.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cnsns.2009.02.017 |
| [15] |
Perelson, A.S., Kirschner, D.E.
and De Boer, R. (1993) Dynamics of HIV Infection of CD4+ T Cells.
Mathematical Biosciences, 114, 81-125. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0025-5564(93)90043-A |
| [16] | Guo, H., Li, M.Y. and Shuai, Z. (2006) Global Stability of the Endemic Equilibrium of Multigroup Models. Canadian Applied Mathematics Quarterly, 14, 259-284. |
| [17] |
Guo, H., Li, M.Y. and Shuai, Z.
(2008) A Graph-Theoretic Approach to the Method of Global Lyapunov
Functions. Proceedings of the American Mathematical Society, 136,
2793-2802.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1090/S0002-9939-08-09341-6 |
| [18] |
Korobeinikov, A. (2001) A
Lyapunov Function for Leslie-Gower Predator-Prey Models. Applied
Mathematics Letters, 14, 697-699. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0893-9659(01)80029-X |
| [19] |
Korobeinikov, A. (2004) Lyapunov
Functions and Global Properties for SEIR and SEIS Models. Mathematical
Medicine and Biology, 21, 75-83. http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/imammb/21.2.75 |
| [20] |
Korobeinikov, A. and Maini, P.K.
(2004) A Lyapunov Function and Global Properties for SIR and SEIR
Epidemiological Models with Nonlinear Incidence. Mathematical
Biosciences and Engineering, 1, 57-60.
http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2004.1.57 |
| [21] |
Korobeinikov, A. and Wake, G.C.
(2002) Lyapunov Functions and Global Stability for SIR, SIRS, and SIS
Epidemiological Models. Applied Mathematics Letters, 15, 955-960. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0893-9659(02)00069-1 |
| [22] |
Ma, Z., Liu, J. and Li, J.
(2003) Stability Analysis for Differential Infectivity Epidemic Models.
Nonlinear Analysis: Real World Applications, 4, 841-856. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S1468-1218(03)00019-1 |
| [23] |
McCluskey, C.C. (2006) Lyapunov
Functions for Tuberculosis Models with Fast and Slow Progression.
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering, 3, 603-614. http://dx.doi.org/10.3934/mbe.2006.3.603 |
| [24] |
McCluskey, C.C. (2003) A Model
of HIV/AIDS with Staged Progression and Amelioration. Mathematical
Biosciences, 181, 1-16. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/S0025-5564(02)00149-9 |
| [25] |
McCluskey, C.C. (2005) A
Strategy for Constructing Lyapunov Functions for Non-Autonomous Linear
Differential Equations. Linear Algebra and Its Applications, 409,
100-110. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.laa.2005.04.006 |
| [26] |
McCluskey, C.C. and van den
Driessche, P. (2004) Global Analysis of Two Tuberculosis Models. Journal
of Dynamics and Differential Equations, 16, 139-166. http://dx.doi.org/10.1023/B:JODY.0000041283.66784.3e |
| [27] |
Tewa, J.J., Dimi, J.L. and
Bowong, S. (2009) Lyapunov Functions for a Dengue Disease Transmission
Model. Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 39, 936-941. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2007.01.069 |
| [28] |
Tewa, J.J., Fokouop, R., Mewoli,
B. and Bowong, S. (2012) Mathematical Analysis of a General Class of
Ordinary Differential Equations Coming from Within-Hosts Models of
Malaria with Immune Effectors. Applied Mathematics and Computation, 218,
7347-7361. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.amc.2011.10.085 |
| [29] |
Bhatia, N.P. and Szegö, G.P.
(1970) Stability Theory of Dynamical Systems. Springer-Verlag, Berlin.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-62006-5 |
| [30] |
LaSalle, J.P. (1968) Stability
Theory for Ordinary Differential Equations. Stability Theory for
Ordinary Differential Equations. Journal of Differential Equations, 41,
57-65. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/0022-0396(68)90048-X |
| [31] |
LaSalle, J.P. (1976) The
Stability of Dynamical Systems. Society for Industrial and Applied
Mathematics, Philadelphia.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1137/1.9781611970432 |
| [32] | LaSalle, J.P. (1976) Stability Theory and Invariance Principles. Dynamical Systems, Vol. I, Academic Press, New York, 211-222. |
| [33] |
Anguelov, R., Dumont, Y.,
Lubuma, J. and Shillor, M. (2013) Dynamically Consistent Nonstandard
Finite Difference Schemes for Epidemiological Models. Journal of
Computational and Applied Mathematics, 255, 161-182.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.cam.2013.04.042 |
| [34] |
Kamgang, J.C. and Sallet, G.
(2005) Global Asymptotic Stability for the Disease Free Equilibrium for
Epidemiological Models. Comptes Rendus Mathematique, 341, 433-438. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.crma.2005.07.015 |
| [35] | Berman, A. and Plemmons, R.J. (1994) Nonnegative Matrices in the Mathematical Sciences, Volume 9. Classics in Applied Mathematics. Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM), Philadelphia. |
| [36] |
Jacquez, J.A. and Simon, C.P.
(1993) Qualitative Theory of Compartmental Systems. SIAM Review, 35,
43-79.
http://dx.doi.org/10.1137/1035003 |
| [37] | Luenberger, D.G. (1979) Introduction to Dynamic Systems. Theory, Models, and Applications. John Wiley & Sons Ltd., Hoboken. |
| [38] |
McCluskey, C.C. (2007) Global
Stability for a Class of Mass Action Systems Allowing for Latency in
Tuberculosis. Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, 338,
518-535. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.jmaa.2007.05.012 |
| [39] |
Li, J., Blakeley, D. and Smith,
R.J. (2011) The Failure of . Computational and Mathematical Methods in
Medicine, 2011, Article ID: 527610. http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/527610 eww141113lx |
评论
发表评论